Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 08:40
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. I GIVE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-3/4, with MAGNIFICENT NINE second and SUPER FORTUNE third. The 3.1 favourite MAGNIFICENT NINE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | I GIVE 1.09.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MAGNIFICENT NINE H- Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.2 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | COTTON FINGERS TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 1 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | GIDDY UP PC-/H/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 2 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 59.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | PULSAR STRIDER B2/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 62.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | POWER KOEPP E M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 81.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 12 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | MASTER STROKE K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 4 | 199.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | STAR LINE B1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DENFIELD CP1/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 10 | 20.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | KAHOLO ANGEL C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COTTON FINGERS | 37.2% | 2.69 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | I GIVE | 19.7% | 5.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 11.6% | 8.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 6.6% | 15.22 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | DENFIELD | 5.9% | 17.05 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER FORTUNE | 5.0% | 20.19 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | GIDDY UP | 3.8% | 26.56 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | POWER KOEPP | 3.2% | 30.78 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | STAR LINE | 2.8% | 35.43 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | PULSAR STRIDER | 2.0% | 50.24 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 1.8% | 55.29 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | MASTER STROKE | 0.5% | 209.26 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 56.5
PLACE
4 18
5 23
10 13
QUINELLA
4,10 111
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 61.5
4,10 43
5,10 45.5
FORECAST
4,10 287
TIERCE
4,10,5 1,446
TRIO
4,5,10 234
FIRST 4
2,4,5,10 104
QUARTET
4,10,5,2 3,052
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/4,5,10 2,830
7TH DOUBLE
6/4 56.5
6/10 10.5