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Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 16:06

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.68
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GALAXY PATCH B 1.08.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng 5 1.2 1-1/2
2 0 GUMMY GUMMY B L Hewitson · T P Yung 4 21.0 1-1/2
3 0 LUCKY ENCOUNTER H1 A Atzeni · D A Hayes 8 7.9 4-1/2
4 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM B Avdulla · J Size 2 9.0 4-3/4
5 0 PING HAI GALAXY H Bowman · J Size 3 40.0 5-1/4
6 0 KEEFY B1/TT- Y L Chung · F C Lor 1 39.0 6-1/4
7 0 WINNING ICEY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 6 27.0 6-3/4
8 0 CARROLL STREET SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 53.0 7
9 0 REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 9 55.0 7-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GALAXY PATCH, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with GUMMY GUMMY second and LUCKY ENCOUNTER third. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALAXY PATCH—2. GUMMY GUMMY+1.5L3. LUCKY ENCOUNTER+4.5L4. BUNDLE OF CHARM+4.75L5. PING HAI GALAXY+5.25L6. KEEFY+6.25L7. WINNING ICEY+6.75L8. CARROLL STREET+7L9. REWARDING TOGETHER+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GALAXY PATCH (41.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALAXY PATCH 41.0% 2.44 1
2 0 LUCKY ENCOUNTER 23.9% 4.18 3
3 0 GUMMY GUMMY 12.0% 8.34 2
4 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM 5.1% 19.51 4
5 0 WINNING ICEY 5.0% 20.13 7
6 0 CARROLL STREET 4.6% 21.66 8
7 0 PING HAI GALAXY 3.9% 25.39 5
8 0 KEEFY 3.0% 32.94 6
9 0 REWARDING TOGETHER 1.4% 69.42 9
GALAXY PATCH — wonLUCKY ENCOUNTERGUMMY GUMMYBUNDLE OF CHARMWINNING ICEYCARROLL STREETPING HAI GALAXYKEEFYREWARDING TOGETHER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 12.5

PLACE

6 10.5

7 15

8 30.5

QUINELLA

6,8 79

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 17.5

6,8 31.5

7,8 88.5

FORECAST

6,8 107

TIERCE

6,8,7 370

TRIO

6,7,8 124

FIRST 4

5,6,7,8 77

QUARTET

6,8,7,5 996

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

1/6 151

1/8 351.5