Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 06:05
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RUN RUN TIMING, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with COPARTNER PRANCE second and INVINCIBLE LUCKY third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING TT 1.10.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | COPARTNER PRANCE TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 12 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 3 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | RUBY SAILING TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 10 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL SR/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 6 | 51.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | KING OF THE COURT B2 L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 2 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | ISLAND BRIGHT SR L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 1 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | GUSTY FIGHTER TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 56.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | FUNG K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 4 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FLYING ROMANTIC B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 80.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | MUST GO H1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 8.4 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | SIGHT HERO BO/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 7.3 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING | 20.2% | 4.95 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | RUBY SAILING | 17.7% | 5.64 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | SIGHT HERO | 11.5% | 8.70 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | MUST GO | 9.0% | 11.07 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL | 7.0% | 14.26 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 5.5% | 18.25 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | ISLAND BRIGHT | 5.4% | 18.69 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY | 4.9% | 20.22 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | KING OF THE COURT | 4.9% | 20.44 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | GUSTY FIGHTER | 4.9% | 20.46 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | FLYING ROMANTIC | 4.7% | 21.37 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | FUNG | 4.3% | 23.14 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 34
PLACE
3 15
4 21
7 29.5
QUINELLA
3,4 141
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 56
3,7 61.5
4,7 115
FORECAST
3,4 279
TIERCE
3,4,7 1,365
TRIO
3,4,7 394
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 224
QUARTET
3,4,7,8 4,934
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/3 317.5
9/4 75