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Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 14:02

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.10.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RUN RUN TIMING TT 1.10.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C H Yip 9 3.4 3/4
2 0 COPARTNER PRANCE TT K De Melo · K W Lui 12 7.3 3/4
3 0 INVINCIBLE LUCKY M Chadwick · M Newnham 3 9.5 2
4 0 RUBY SAILING TT H Bowman · K L Man 10 4.7 2
5 0 THE GOOD DEAL SR/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte 6 51.0 3-1/4
6 0 KING OF THE COURT B2 L Hewitson · W Y So 2 9.9 3-1/2
7 0 ISLAND BRIGHT SR L Ferraris · P F Yiu 1 23.0 6
8 0 GUSTY FIGHTER TT A Atzeni · J Richards 8 56.0 6-1/4
9 0 FUNG K C Leung · C W Chang 4 60.0 7-3/4
10 0 FLYING ROMANTIC B Avdulla · D J Hall 11 80.0 8
11 0 MUST GO H1 Z Purton · J Size 7 8.4 9
12 0 SIGHT HERO BO/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 5 7.3 13-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RUN RUN TIMING, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with COPARTNER PRANCE second and INVINCIBLE LUCKY third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUN RUN TIMING—2. COPARTNER PRANCE+0.75L3. INVINCIBLE LUCKY+2L4. RUBY SAILING+2L5. THE GOOD DEAL+3.25L6. KING OF THE COURT+3.5L7. ISLAND BRIGHT+6L8. GUSTY FIGHTER+6.25L9. FUNG+7.75L10. FLYING ROMANTIC+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick RUN RUN TIMING (20.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RUN RUN TIMING 20.2% 4.95 1
2 0 RUBY SAILING 17.7% 5.64 4
3 0 SIGHT HERO 11.5% 8.70 12
4 0 MUST GO 9.0% 11.07 11
5 0 THE GOOD DEAL 7.0% 14.26 5
6 0 COPARTNER PRANCE 5.5% 18.25 2
7 0 ISLAND BRIGHT 5.4% 18.69 7
8 0 INVINCIBLE LUCKY 4.9% 20.22 3
9 0 KING OF THE COURT 4.9% 20.44 6
10 0 GUSTY FIGHTER 4.9% 20.46 8
11 0 FLYING ROMANTIC 4.7% 21.37 10
12 0 FUNG 4.3% 23.14 9
RUN RUN TIMING — wonRUBY SAILINGSIGHT HEROMUST GOTHE GOOD DEALCOPARTNER PRANCEISLAND BRIGHTINVINCIBLE LUCKYKING OF THE COURTGUSTY FIGHTERFLYING ROMANTICFUNG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 34

PLACE

3 15

4 21

7 29.5

QUINELLA

3,4 141

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 56

3,7 61.5

4,7 115

FORECAST

3,4 279

TIERCE

3,4,7 1,365

TRIO

3,4,7 394

FIRST 4

3,4,7,8 224

QUARTET

3,4,7,8 4,934

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

9/3 317.5

9/4 75