Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 17:49
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING DUCK Wire to wire CP 1.22.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 1 | 47.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.6 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 14 | 8.7 | N |
| 4 | 0 | JOYFUL HUNTER Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 2.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | JOLLY RULER Closed strongly H L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 10 | 74.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 3 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly XB/TT M L Yeung · D J Hall | M L Yeung | D J Hall | 9 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LESLIE Closed strongly B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 7 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SWIFT ASCEND XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 13 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 5 | 112.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB K De Melo · P C Ng | K De Melo | P C Ng | 11 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FASHION LEGEND TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 6 | 87.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 8 | 8.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | I CAN H/B1/TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 12 | 42.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING DUCK, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with BEAUTY CRESCENT second and BEAUTY FIT third. The winner led throughout. The 2.9 favourite JOYFUL HUNTER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 26.4% | 3.79 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL HUNTER | 22.8% | 4.40 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 7.3% | 13.78 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION | 7.0% | 14.25 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | SWIFT ASCEND | 6.3% | 15.76 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | LESLIE | 6.1% | 16.49 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 5.9% | 16.96 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 4.4% | 22.83 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO | 3.0% | 33.47 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING DUCK | 3.0% | 33.48 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.6% | 38.73 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | JOLLY RULER | 2.2% | 45.64 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | FASHION LEGEND | 1.9% | 53.61 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | I CAN | 1.3% | 78.78 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 473.5
PLACE
1 13.5
6 28
14 116
QUINELLA
1,14 808
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 50.5
1,14 234.5
6,14 619
FORECAST
14,1 2,070
TIERCE
14,1,6 16,589
TRIO
1,6,14 2,096
FIRST 4
1,3,6,14 1,295
QUARTET
14,1,6,3 57,338
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4/11/1 562
4/11/14 52,281
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,11/1,6,14 412,361
9TH DOUBLE
11/1 104
11/14 7,057.5
SIX UP
7,8/1,4/6,8/4,10/5,11/1,14 5,443
8/1/6/4/11/14 2,732,714
2 [P C Ng] —
2 [K Teetan] —