Sha Tin · 2024-01-13 · 15:07
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B 1.22.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.2 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 5 | 12.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | PATCH OF TIME Led early TT- L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 11 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ACA POWER Closed strongly CP K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 3 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly B L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 6 | 9.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 13 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORY CLOUD TT1 H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER HIGHWAY Closed strongly V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 48.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | NOBLE ONE Closed strongly B A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 12 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 14 | 3.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING HEART B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RED MAVERICK TT1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 203.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | TOP PEAK C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 11.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | DUBLIN STAR V/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 46.0 | 18-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-13 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. VOLCANIC SPARK, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by NOSE, with MASTER TORNADO second and PATCH OF TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 21.1% | 4.74 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 14.8% | 6.76 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE ONE | 10.5% | 9.57 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO | 7.2% | 13.89 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 6.1% | 16.38 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | GLORY CLOUD | 6.1% | 16.39 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | TOP PEAK | 5.9% | 17.08 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | ACA POWER | 5.7% | 17.56 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | PATCH OF TIME | 5.7% | 17.57 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 4.8% | 20.86 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING HEART | 4.6% | 21.85 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 4.0% | 25.04 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | DUBLIN STAR | 3.2% | 31.59 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | RED MAVERICK | 0.5% | 204.10 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 32
PLACE
7 38.5
8 15
9 69
QUINELLA
7,8 174.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 70
7,9 464.5
8,9 147
FORECAST
8,7 305
TIERCE
8,7,9 4,494
TRIO
7,8,9 1,317
FIRST 4
7,8,9,10 4,969
QUARTET
8,7,9,10 57,960
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/5/7 2,197
3/5/8 5,254
4TH DOUBLE
5/7 202
5/8 586.5