跑馬地 · 2024-01-17 · 15:00
第 8場
2024-01-17跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WATCH BUDDY勝出，贏出HD。RAGING BLIZZARD獲得亞軍；SUGAR SUGAR獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門RAGING BLIZZARD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WATCH BUDDY 1.10.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.5 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | RAGING BLIZZARD K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 1.7 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | SUGAR SUGAR B-/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 1 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 41.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | PRINCE OF PORTY TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 7 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TOGEPI B/TT L Hewitson · W K Mo | L Hewitson | W K Mo | 4 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | GOLDEN SAMURAI B2/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | STREET CONQUEROR TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 82.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 74.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 8.1 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | ONLY U B1/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 11 | 154.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 37.5% | 2.67 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | WATCH BUDDY | 17.0% | 5.90 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA | 11.0% | 9.12 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | SUGAR SUGAR | 5.8% | 17.30 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | TOGEPI | 5.8% | 17.31 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 4.9% | 20.48 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 4.5% | 22.16 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | STREET CONQUEROR | 4.3% | 23.43 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 4.0% | 25.10 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 2.7% | 37.19 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 1.9% | 51.65 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | ONLY U | 0.8% | 128.05 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 75.5
PLACE
5 11.5
6 20.5
8 18
QUINELLA
5,8 53.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 26.5
5,8 25.5
6,8 58.5
FORECAST
8,5 173
TIERCE
8,5,6 579
TRIO
5,6,8 84
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 522
QUARTET
8,5,6,2 8,375
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
3/12/5 109
3/12/8 1,517
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,12/5,6,8 3,274
7TH DOUBLE
12/5 10.5
12/8 198.5
SIX UP
5,11/2,9/2,7/3,4/4,12/5,8 2,544
11/9/7/3/12/8 45,687
2 [K Teetan] —
1 [C Fownes] —