沙田 · 2024-02-04 · 07:37
第 6場
2024-02-04沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、K W Lui訓練的BABY CRYSTAL勝出，贏出1/2。STELLAR EXPRESS獲得亞軍；RUBYLOT獲得季軍。頭馬以4.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT 0.56.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 12 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | STELLAR EXPRESS J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 14 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | RUBYLOT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | PRINCE OF PORTY CP1/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | MA COMET H1/TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | VICTORY MOMENTS SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | FLYING HIGH TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 10 | 9.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 13 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH H/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 7 | 37.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 9 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY H/CP1/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 4 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 68.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 6 | FORTUNE WHISKEY CP1/H1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 73.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | RUBYLOT | 21.6% | 4.63 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | MA COMET | 15.2% | 6.58 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 9.8% | 10.21 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | BABY CRYSTAL | 9.6% | 10.37 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 8.2% | 12.25 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 6.5% | 15.44 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 5.1% | 19.47 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 4.7% | 21.18 | 5 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPER COMMANDER | 4.5% | 22.32 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 4.4% | 22.67 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 3.2% | 31.03 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 3.1% | 31.82 | 13 |
| 13 | 5 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 2.1% | 47.57 | 10 |
| 14 | 6 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 1.9% | 52.63 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 46.5
PLACE
4 19
12 19
13 36
QUINELLA
4,12 122
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 50.5
4,13 121
12,13 97
FORECAST
12,4 254
TIERCE
12,4,13 2,267
TRIO
4,12,13 512
FIRST 4
2,4,12,13 2,343
QUARTET
12,4,13,2 45,033
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/4,12,13 64,578
5TH DOUBLE
4/4 189.5
4/12 1,053.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,11/3,4,7/4,12,13 7,768,060
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,11/3,4,7/Any Combination 22,442