沙田 · 2024-02-04 · 09:19
第 9場
2024-02-04沙田第9場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SUNLIGHT POWER勝出，贏出1-1/4。ARIEL獲得亞軍；TOP SCORER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUNLIGHT POWER 後段發力 CP/H/XB 1.22.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | ARIEL 早段領放 CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TOP SCORER 後段發力 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 14 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | PATCH OF TIME L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 2 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | CORDYCEPS ONE A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ONLY U 後段發力 B-/CP1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 73.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | MASTER TORNADO 後段發力 PC/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 7.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | SPEEDSTAR B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 10 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | JOY OF SPRING 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | RAINBOW DELIGHT P-/PC1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 97.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 13 | 54.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GOLDEN CHAMPION · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOP SCORER | 25.8% | 3.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | ARIEL | 12.2% | 8.17 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | JOY OF SPRING | 10.0% | 9.98 | 12 |
| 4 | 10 | PATCH OF TIME | 9.3% | 10.71 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | MASTER TORNADO | 7.6% | 13.12 | 8 |
| 6 | 14 | SPEEDSTAR | 7.0% | 14.27 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 5.8% | 17.18 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 5.4% | 18.44 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 5.2% | 19.22 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 3.7% | 27.18 | 14 |
| 11 | 13 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 3.3% | 30.41 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | CAN'T GO WONG | 2.9% | 34.04 | 4 |
| 13 | 2 | ONLY U | 1.1% | 95.03 | 7 |
| 14 | 7 | RAINBOW DELIGHT | 0.5% | 192.08 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 42
PLACE
3 24
4 18.5
11 15.5
QUINELLA
3,11 137.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 68.5
3,11 55
4,11 40.5
FORECAST
11,3 279
TIERCE
11,3,4 1,086
TRIO
3,4,11 184
FIRST 4
3,4,11,12 1,516
QUARTET
11,3,4,12 25,393
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
12/3 139
12/11 423