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Sha Tin · 2024-02-04 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.67
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H/XB 1.22.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu 7 4.2 1-1/4
2 0 ARIEL Led early CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 1 7.0 1-1/4
3 0 TOP SCORER Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 12 4.2 3
4 0 CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 14 39.0 3-1/4
5 0 PATCH OF TIME L Ferraris · K H Ting 2 9.4 3-1/4
6 0 CORDYCEPS ONE A Hamelin · C H Yip 6 21.0 3-1/4
7 0 ONLY U Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 11 73.0 4
8 0 MASTER TORNADO Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · W Y So 9 7.2 4-1/4
9 0 SPEEDSTAR B A Badel · D J Hall 5 23.0 4-3/4
10 0 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 17.0 5
11 0 HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT K C Leung · J Richards 10 16.0 5-1/2
12 0 JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 8 12.0 6
13 0 RAINBOW DELIGHT P-/PC1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte 4 97.0 6-1/2
14 0 ISLAND GOLDEN TT B Avdulla · K L Man 13 54.0 7-1/4
— 0 GOLDEN CHAMPION · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-04 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUNLIGHT POWER, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with ARIEL second and TOP SCORER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUNLIGHT POWER—2. ARIEL+1.25L3. TOP SCORER+3L4. CAN'T GO WONG+3.25L5. PATCH OF TIME+3.25L6. CORDYCEPS ONE+3.25L7. ONLY U+4L8. MASTER TORNADO+4.25L9. SPEEDSTAR+4.75L10. YOU'REMYEVERYTHING+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick TOP SCORER (25.8%) finished 3rd — the winner SUNLIGHT POWER was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 TOP SCORER 25.8% 3.87 3
2 0 ARIEL 12.2% 8.17 2
3 0 JOY OF SPRING 10.0% 9.98 12
4 0 PATCH OF TIME 9.3% 10.71 5
5 0 MASTER TORNADO 7.6% 13.12 8
6 0 SPEEDSTAR 7.0% 14.27 9
7 0 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING 5.8% 17.18 10
8 0 HAPPY FOR ALL 5.4% 18.44 11
9 0 SUNLIGHT POWER 5.2% 19.22 1
10 0 ISLAND GOLDEN 3.7% 27.18 14
11 0 CORDYCEPS ONE 3.3% 30.41 6
12 0 CAN'T GO WONG 2.9% 34.04 4
13 0 ONLY U 1.1% 95.03 7
14 0 RAINBOW DELIGHT 0.5% 192.08 13
TOP SCORERARIELJOY OF SPRINGPATCH OF TIMEMASTER TORNADOSPEEDSTARYOU'REMYEVERYTHINGHAPPY FOR ALLSUNLIGHT POWER — wonISLAND GOLDENCORDYCEPS ONECAN'T GO WONGONLY URAINBOW DELIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 42

PLACE

3 24

4 18.5

11 15.5

QUINELLA

3,11 137.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 68.5

3,11 55

4,11 40.5

FORECAST

11,3 279

TIERCE

11,3,4 1,086

TRIO

3,4,11 184

FIRST 4

3,4,11,12 1,516

QUARTET

11,3,4,12 25,393

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

12/3 139

12/11 423