Sha Tin · 2024-02-04 · 09:54
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-04 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BUNDLE OF CHARM, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by HD, with GUMMY GUMMY second and WONDER KIT third. The 2.6 favourite GUMMY GUMMY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P1 1.08.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 18.0 | HD |
| 2 | 10 | GUMMY GUMMY B A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 1 | 2.6 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | WONDER KIT CP-/B1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | MAGNIAC V/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 7 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 5 | 9.3 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | SEASONS WIT B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY M Barzalona · J Size | M Barzalona | J Size | 4 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 65.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON B1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 18.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | XPONENTIAL B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 23.0 | 18-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 22.4% | 4.46 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | GUMMY GUMMY | 18.4% | 5.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 11.4% | 8.78 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | MAGNIAC | 8.7% | 11.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | SEASONS WIT | 7.6% | 13.13 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | WONDER KIT | 7.3% | 13.66 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 6.8% | 14.81 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | XPONENTIAL | 6.5% | 15.32 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON | 5.5% | 18.04 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.0% | 33.67 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY | 2.4% | 42.37 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 184
PLACE
8 30.5
9 47.5
10 13.5
QUINELLA
9,10 251.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 299.5
8,10 75
9,10 86.5
FORECAST
9,10 831
TIERCE
9,10,8 6,553
TRIO
8,9,10 860
FIRST 4
8,9,10,11 367
QUARTET
9,10,8,11 14,561
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
12/11/9 9,552
12/11/10 176
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,11/8,9,10 25,456
9TH DOUBLE
11/9 1,062
11/10 15.5
SIX UP
3,4/4,12/1,3/11,12/3,11/9,10 1,091
4/12/1/12/11/9 2,383,076
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [J Size] —