Sha Tin · 2024-02-04 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VANTASTIC CHOICE Closed strongly 1.22.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 6 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FOOLISH HEART Closed strongly V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 7 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SKY HEART Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 14 | 3.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 3 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BALLISTIC WIN C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | I CAN B/H/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 8 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHATER GOLD CP1 A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 4 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | KING OF THE COURT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 10 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLD TACK K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 1 | 5.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KING OBERON Led early H L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 46.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT BLAZING Closed strongly TT1 A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 12 | 53.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | HEARTY WISH B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 120.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | GO HERO H A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 2 | 42.0 | ML |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-04 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. VANTASTIC CHOICE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with FOOLISH HEART second and SKY HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SKY HEART finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY HEART | 26.0% | 3.84 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLD TACK | 13.2% | 7.60 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 11.2% | 8.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | I CAN | 7.9% | 12.66 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 5.9% | 16.96 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | BALLISTIC WIN | 5.9% | 16.96 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT BLAZING | 5.8% | 17.10 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | FOOLISH HEART | 5.6% | 17.93 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHATER GOLD | 4.5% | 22.06 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | KING OF THE COURT | 4.3% | 23.16 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 3.4% | 29.33 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | GO HERO | 2.2% | 45.62 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | KING OBERON | 2.2% | 46.09 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | HEARTY WISH | 1.9% | 54.03 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 139
PLACE
2 41
4 19
11 37.5
QUINELLA
2,11 940
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 133
2,11 283
4,11 112
FORECAST
11,2 1,897
TIERCE
11,2,4 13,861
TRIO
2,4,11 1,968
FIRST 4
2,4,8,11 1,164
QUARTET
11,2,4,8 41,210
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/2,4,11 770,852
3RD DOUBLE
5/2 557.5
5/11 3,685.5