Sha Tin · 2024-02-04 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KA YING GENERATION Closed strongly PC 2.01.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 18.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 2.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 6 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 9 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ENIGMA Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | AWESOME FLUKE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE H J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 4 | 7.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SWAN BAY B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 3.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET H/PC/XB M Barzalona · P C Ng | M Barzalona | P C Ng | 3 | 6.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ELLIPTICAL B1/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAKKA RADIANCE H/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 10 | 54.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-04 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. KA YING GENERATION, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with SIMPLE HEDGE second and INTREPID WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite SIMPLE HEDGE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 30.8% | 3.25 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 14.6% | 6.83 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 13.9% | 7.18 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SWAN BAY | 10.0% | 10.01 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | ELLIPTICAL | 7.2% | 13.97 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 6.9% | 14.42 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 5.8% | 17.20 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | KA YING GENERATION | 5.8% | 17.31 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | AWESOME FLUKE | 3.2% | 30.87 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 1.2% | 83.68 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | ENIGMA | 0.5% | 187.74 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 185.5
PLACE
3 15
4 41.5
7 34.5
QUINELLA
3,4 301
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 96
3,7 98.5
4,7 236.5
FORECAST
4,3 853
TIERCE
4,3,7 7,323
TRIO
3,4,7 911
FIRST 4
3,4,7,11 2,882
QUARTET
4,3,7,11 99,669
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/11/3 3,170
5/11/4 82,161
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 90.5
11/4 2,800