Sha Tin · 2024-02-04 · 08:44
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-04 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. NIMBLE NIMBUS, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with FIVE G PATCH second and STRAIGHT ARRON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite HAPPY TOGETHER finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT 1.47.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.9 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.4 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 9.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FANTASTIC TREASURE CP-/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY TOGETHER H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 3.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | ENCOUNTERED TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SWORD POINT CP L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly V/XB H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 9 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER SUNNY SING TT1 B Avdulla · W Y So | B Avdulla | W Y So | 14 | 9.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | SENOR TOBA V2/TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 11 | 50.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | MONEY CATCHER Led early V1 L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 13 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 24.0% | 4.17 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 14.5% | 6.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | FIVE G PATCH | 7.6% | 13.23 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 6.9% | 14.55 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | SWORD POINT | 6.5% | 15.37 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | MONEY CATCHER | 6.3% | 15.83 | 14 |
| 7 | 12 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 6.2% | 16.21 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | ENCOUNTERED | 4.9% | 20.51 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 4.8% | 21.00 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.42 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 4.3% | 23.27 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 4.1% | 24.23 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | SENOR TOBA | 3.2% | 31.18 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 2.2% | 45.83 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 79.5
PLACE
1 32
11 25.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
11,12 380.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 136.5
1,12 170
11,12 125.5
FORECAST
12,11 805
TIERCE
12,11,1 6,709
TRIO
1,11,12 1,287
FIRST 4
1,11,12,13 1,766
QUARTET
12,11,1,13 42,335
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/1,11,12 35,732
7TH DOUBLE
1/11 20.5
1/12 123