Sha Tin · 2024-02-04 · 16:08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS Closed strongly 1.34.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 1.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HELENE FEELING CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 8.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR MAC Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 46.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B M Barzalona · K W Lui | M Barzalona | K W Lui | 1 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 2 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | CHANCHENG GLORY Led early B/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 52.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-04 was 4YO over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HELIOS EXPRESS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 1-3/4, with HELENE FEELING second and STAR MAC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 35.0% | 2.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HELENE FEELING | 23.8% | 4.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 10.5% | 9.51 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 7.3% | 13.62 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 6.7% | 14.94 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR MAC | 5.2% | 19.37 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 4.4% | 22.59 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEED DRAGON | 4.2% | 23.97 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | FALLON | 2.9% | 34.14 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 13
PLACE
1 10.1
3 15
9 63.5
QUINELLA
1,3 39
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 20
1,9 71
3,9 201
FORECAST
1,3 48
TIERCE
1,3,9 614
TRIO
1,3,9 279
FIRST 4
1,3,7,9 524
QUARTET
1,3,9,7 4,067
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
12/1 84.5
12/3 88