沙田 · 2024-02-04 · 05:32
第 2場
2024-02-04沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的PANDA勝出，贏出3/4。BOWSER獲得亞軍；METRO WARRIOR獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門LIFELINE EXPRESS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PANDA B 0.57.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 12 | 7.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | BOWSER TT1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 8 | 26.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR B-/CP2 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 13 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | LIFELINE EXPRESS J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 6 | 2.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | MR GOOD VIBES B1 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 40.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | LESS IS MORE TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 11 | 6.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 1 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | JOLLY COMPANION XB C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 5 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | FAMILY FORTUNE TT1 H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 14 | 97.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY CHARM TT1 B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 2 | 114.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 7 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | PHILOS H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 60.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | PACKING BRILLIANT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 3 | 8.6 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 23.5% | 4.26 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | LESS IS MORE | 15.8% | 6.35 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | PANDA | 11.7% | 8.55 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR | 8.1% | 12.40 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | PACKING BRILLIANT | 7.4% | 13.59 | 14 |
| 6 | 6 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 5.3% | 18.95 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | PHILOS | 4.7% | 21.50 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | BOWSER | 4.2% | 23.96 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR | 4.1% | 24.17 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | JOLLY COMPANION | 3.9% | 25.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | MR GOOD VIBES | 3.3% | 30.55 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY CHARM | 3.2% | 31.42 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 3.1% | 31.96 | 12 |
| 14 | 4 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 1.9% | 52.60 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 74.5
PLACE
1 20.5
5 63.5
11 24.5
QUINELLA
5,11 804
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 162.5
1,11 66.5
5,11 211
FORECAST
11,5 1,372
TIERCE
11,5,1 10,183
TRIO
1,5,11 1,343
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 1,040
QUARTET
11,5,1,3 33,996
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/5 565
5/11 1,070.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,10/1,5,11 181,349