跑馬地 · 2024-02-28 · 11:43
第 3場
2024-02-28跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、C H Yip訓練的LEAN MASTER勝出，贏出1-3/4。SUPER FAST DRAGON獲得亞軍；COLOURFUL PRINCE獲得季軍。4.8倍大熱門SUPER FAST DRAGON跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LEAN MASTER B/TT 0.57.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 7.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER FAST DRAGON B/XB/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 6 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPER CHARIZZARD K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 4 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | FALCON COURT TT1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 123.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/XB/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | BEAUTY DESTINY CP/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 5.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | DIAMOND SOARS TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LEAN MASTER | 19.0% | 5.25 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 13.4% | 7.49 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 12.0% | 8.35 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 11.1% | 8.97 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 10.1% | 9.88 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 8.2% | 12.13 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | PARENTS' LOVE | 6.5% | 15.39 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 5.9% | 17.01 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 5.9% | 17.05 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | DIAMOND SOARS | 3.7% | 26.83 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM | 3.6% | 28.07 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | FALCON COURT | 0.6% | 170.13 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 70.5
PLACE
2 61
8 19
12 23.5
QUINELLA
8,12 166
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 158
2,12 253
8,12 57.5
FORECAST
12,8 347
TIERCE
12,8,2 6,035
TRIO
2,8,12 991
FIRST 4
2,8,10,12 2,854
QUARTET
12,8,2,10 65,482
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,9/2,8,12 65,793
2ND DOUBLE
6/8 36.5
6/12 427