跑馬地 · 2024-02-28 · 13:47
第 7場
2024-02-28跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、C Fownes訓練的JUNE PLANET勝出，贏出HD。OUTGATE獲得亞軍；M UNICORN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門M UNICORN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUNE PLANET 後段發力 TT 1.41.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 11.0 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | OUTGATE 早段領放 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.1 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | M UNICORN 後段發力 H/P/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | EIGHTEEN PALMS B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 6.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | SILVER SONIC XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE SR/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 8 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 7 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ENDEARED XB A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 6.1 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SIXTH GENERATION H/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | RUN RUN COOL PC B Thompson · F C Lor | B Thompson | F C Lor | 10 | 67.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | M UNICORN | 29.1% | 3.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | ENDEARED | 14.2% | 7.05 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | AESTHETICISM | 13.1% | 7.61 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 9.3% | 10.75 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | OUTGATE | 8.5% | 11.83 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | SILVER SONIC | 7.2% | 13.80 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | JUNE PLANET | 6.9% | 14.59 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE | 6.1% | 16.28 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | SIXTH GENERATION | 3.0% | 32.82 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.6% | 38.93 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 115.5
PLACE
1 18.5
4 15.5
10 39
QUINELLA
1,10 404
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 37
1,10 116
4,10 80.5
FORECAST
10,1 928
TIERCE
10,1,4 3,805
TRIO
1,4,10 385
FIRST 4
1,3,4,10 342
QUARTET
10,1,4,3 13,736
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,11>2,10/1,4,10 55,538
6TH DOUBLE
2,10/1 24.5
2,10/10 506
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,6/3,11>2,10/1,4,10 1,838,555
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,6/3,11>2,10/Any Combination 4,939