Happy Valley · 2024-02-28 · 13:47
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-28 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. JUNE PLANET, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with OUTGATE second and M UNICORN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite M UNICORN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUNE PLANET Closed strongly TT 1.41.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 11.0 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | OUTGATE Led early H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.1 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | M UNICORN Closed strongly H/P/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | EIGHTEEN PALMS B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 6.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | SILVER SONIC XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE SR/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 8 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 7 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ENDEARED XB A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 6.1 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SIXTH GENERATION H/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | RUN RUN COOL PC B Thompson · F C Lor | B Thompson | F C Lor | 10 | 67.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | M UNICORN | 29.1% | 3.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | ENDEARED | 14.2% | 7.05 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | AESTHETICISM | 13.1% | 7.61 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 9.3% | 10.75 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | OUTGATE | 8.5% | 11.83 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | SILVER SONIC | 7.2% | 13.80 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | JUNE PLANET | 6.9% | 14.59 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE | 6.1% | 16.28 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | SIXTH GENERATION | 3.0% | 32.82 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.6% | 38.93 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 115.5
PLACE
1 18.5
4 15.5
10 39
QUINELLA
1,10 404
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 37
1,10 116
4,10 80.5
FORECAST
10,1 928
TIERCE
10,1,4 3,805
TRIO
1,4,10 385
FIRST 4
1,3,4,10 342
QUARTET
10,1,4,3 13,736
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,11>2,10/1,4,10 55,538
6TH DOUBLE
2,10/1 24.5
2,10/10 506
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,6/3,11>2,10/1,4,10 1,838,555
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,6/3,11>2,10/Any Combination 4,939