Happy Valley · 2024-02-28 · 12:44
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-28 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RAGING BLIZZARD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 2-1/2, with POWER KOEPP second and WINGS OF WAR third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RAGING BLIZZARD P1 1.10.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 1.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | POWER KOEPP E H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 1 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SING DRAGON L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | STAR LINE B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 2 | 52.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | HEALTHY HEALTHY TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 6.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | CHAMPION METHOD B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 7 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | ALL IS GOOD B A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 6 | 54.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 48.2% | 2.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 13.9% | 7.19 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | POWER KOEPP | 11.5% | 8.72 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 6.4% | 15.58 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | WINGS OF WAR | 6.1% | 16.28 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | CHAMPION METHOD | 4.9% | 20.26 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | SING DRAGON | 4.0% | 24.70 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | ALL IS GOOD | 3.7% | 26.85 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | STAR LINE | 1.2% | 86.62 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 17.5
PLACE
2 25
5 11.5
6 28.5
QUINELLA
2,5 91
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 35
2,6 116.5
5,6 35
FORECAST
5,2 123
TIERCE
5,2,6 613
TRIO
2,5,6 210
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 211
QUARTET
5,2,6,1 2,691
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
12/2/2 770
12/2/5 1,682
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/2,5,6 4,472
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 133
2/5 256.5