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Happy Valley · 2024-02-28 · 14:56

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-28 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY INFINITY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 2-1/4, with OUR LUCKY GLORY second and DAN ATTACK third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.10.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 BEAUTY INFINITY 1.10.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 7 1.7 2-1/4
2 6 OUR LUCKY GLORY TT H Bentley · W Y So 8 22.0 2-1/4
3 11 DAN ATTACK TT A Hamelin · J Richards 10 12.0 3-3/4
4 7 VANTASTIC CHOICE A Badel · C H Yip 2 10.0 4-1/4
5 2 SCOTCH TYCOON B Y L Chung · M Newnham 3 18.0 5
6 10 YOUTH POWER H-/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 4 94.0 5-1/2
7 12 SO AWESOME B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 11 40.0 5-1/2
8 3 JUMBO LEGEND H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 1 5.7 6
9 4 EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT B Thompson · F C Lor 12 120.0 7
10 5 KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte 9 9.1 7
11 8 VULCANUS CP1 C L Chau · T P Yung 5 45.0 8-3/4
12 9 BONUS PAL PC-/B2/TT1 L Ferraris · P C Ng 6 104.0 9-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY INFINITY2. OUR LUCKY GLORY+2.25L3. DAN ATTACK+3.75L4. VANTASTIC CHOICE+4.25L5. SCOTCH TYCOON+5L6. YOUTH POWER+5.5L7. SO AWESOME+5.5L8. JUMBO LEGEND+6L9. EVERYONE'S VICTORY+7L10. KING ECCELLENTE+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick BEAUTY INFINITY (27.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 BEAUTY INFINITY 27.8% 3.60 1
2 3 JUMBO LEGEND 15.6% 6.42 8
3 7 VANTASTIC CHOICE 12.4% 8.06 4
4 5 KING ECCELLENTE 12.3% 8.14 10
5 11 DAN ATTACK 5.7% 17.64 3
6 6 OUR LUCKY GLORY 5.6% 17.71 2
7 8 VULCANUS 5.6% 17.93 11
8 12 SO AWESOME 5.2% 19.36 7
9 2 SCOTCH TYCOON 3.8% 26.61 5
10 4 EVERYONE'S VICTORY 2.9% 34.18 9
11 10 YOUTH POWER 1.6% 62.21 6
12 9 BONUS PAL 1.6% 63.15 12
BEAUTY INFINITY — wonJUMBO LEGENDVANTASTIC CHOICEKING ECCELLENTEDAN ATTACKOUR LUCKY GLORYVULCANUSSO AWESOMESCOTCH TYCOONEVERYONE'S VICTORYYOUTH POWERBONUS PAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 17.5

PLACE

1 10.1

6 38.5

11 30

QUINELLA

1,6 129

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 49.5

1,11 58.5

6,11 245

FORECAST

1,6 167

TIERCE

1,6,11 1,723

TRIO

1,6,11 554

FIRST 4

1,6,7,11 752

QUARTET

1,6,11,7 9,663

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

10/4/1 2,631

10/4/6 3,526

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,9/1,6,11 74,078

8TH DOUBLE

4/1 228

4/6 301

SIX UP

2,5/2,5/2,10,11/1,10/4,9/1,6 3,803

2/5/2,10/10/4/1 141,723

2 [C Fownes]

1 [Z Purton]