Happy Valley · 2024-02-28 · 13:13
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-28 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER JOY N FUN, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with LUCKY QUALITY second and GOLDEN BULL third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER JOY N FUN 1.11.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | LUCKY QUALITY V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 46.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | GOLDEN BULL XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 6.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | TELECOM SPEED H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 5 | 5.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | HEARTY WISH Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 6 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLDEN LINK H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 11 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | PRIME MORTAR XB/V1/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | FIGHTING MAN XB/TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 9 | 124.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 4 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | MARIO B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 84.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/H/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 1 | 4.8 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 10 | TATTENHAM K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 23.8% | 4.19 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | TELECOM SPEED | 17.5% | 5.71 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 15.3% | 6.54 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLDEN BULL | 14.2% | 7.04 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | PRIME MORTAR | 8.0% | 12.49 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLDEN LINK | 5.2% | 19.26 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 5.0% | 20.02 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY QUALITY | 4.9% | 20.42 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | MARIO | 2.9% | 33.96 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | HEARTY WISH | 2.6% | 38.07 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | FIGHTING MAN | 0.5% | 204.98 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26
PLACE
2 12
3 20.5
11 93
QUINELLA
2,11 713.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 30.5
2,11 210.5
3,11 409.5
FORECAST
2,11 1,057
TIERCE
2,11,3 6,603
TRIO
2,3,11 1,004
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 889
QUARTET
2,11,3,1 23,848
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/2,10 53.5
5/11 135.5