Happy Valley · 2024-02-28 · 18:40
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly V 1.51.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON Led early B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 6 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR Closed strongly B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 10 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 9.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 3 | 42.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER CP1/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY HERO CP-/B2 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 9 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | VINCY SR/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 8 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 11 | 47.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AI ONE L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-28 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PALACE PAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 2-1/4, with LOYAL AMBITION second and COLOURFUL BARON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite DIAMOND WINNER finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PALACE PAL | 22.9% | 4.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 18.1% | 5.51 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 11.9% | 8.38 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER | 10.1% | 9.92 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 8.9% | 11.23 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY HERO | 6.0% | 16.62 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | VINCY | 5.1% | 19.69 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 4.8% | 20.65 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 4.8% | 20.97 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 3.5% | 28.96 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 2.4% | 41.26 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 1.4% | 70.75 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 49.5
PLACE
3 18
5 21.5
10 33
QUINELLA
3,10 247
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 57.5
3,10 84
5,10 110.5
FORECAST
3,10 376
TIERCE
3,10,5 2,780
TRIO
3,5,10 464
FIRST 4
3,5,10,12 2,322
QUARTET
3,10,5,12 37,682