跑馬地 · 2024-02-28 · 10:41
第 1場
2024-02-28跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的PALACE PAL勝出，贏出2-1/4。LOYAL AMBITION獲得亞軍；COLOURFUL BARON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.7倍大熱門DIAMOND WINNER跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PALACE PAL 後段發力 V 1.51.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | LOYAL AMBITION 後段發力 K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | COLOURFUL BARON 早段領放 B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 6 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | MIGHTY STAR 後段發力 B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 10 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | NICE BIRDIE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | DIAMOND WINNER 後段發力 H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDEN FAIRY A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 9.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 3 | 42.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | BRILLIANT PIONEER CP1/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPY HERO CP-/B2 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 9 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | VINCY SR/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 8 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 11 | 47.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AI ONE L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PALACE PAL | 22.9% | 4.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 18.1% | 5.51 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 11.9% | 8.38 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | DIAMOND WINNER | 10.1% | 9.92 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | COLOURFUL BARON | 8.9% | 11.23 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY HERO | 6.0% | 16.62 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | VINCY | 5.1% | 19.69 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | NICE BIRDIE | 4.8% | 20.65 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | LOYAL AMBITION | 4.8% | 20.97 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | MIGHTY STAR | 3.5% | 28.96 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 2.4% | 41.26 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 1.4% | 70.75 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 49.5
PLACE
3 18
5 21.5
10 33
QUINELLA
3,10 247
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 57.5
3,10 84
5,10 110.5
FORECAST
3,10 376
TIERCE
3,10,5 2,780
TRIO
3,5,10 464
FIRST 4
3,5,10,12 2,322
QUARTET
3,10,5,12 37,682