Happy Valley · 2024-02-28 · 11:12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-28 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TACTICAL COMMAND, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with MY INTELLIGENT second and MILLENNIUM FALCON third. Victory came as the 5.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TACTICAL COMMAND B 1.11.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 5.9 | N |
| 2 | 2 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 10 | 9.4 | N |
| 3 | 9 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 4 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | FORTUNE MASTER PC-/XB/B2/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 6 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | HERO ICON CP-/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 3 | 7.1 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | NOIR RIDER B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | EASY TWO H/V/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 45.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | FIRE BALL CP B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 7 | 9.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B/TT1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 8.6 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL H1/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.5 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DOUBLE SHOW | 13.4% | 7.49 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 11.8% | 8.45 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 11.5% | 8.73 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL | 11.1% | 9.05 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | MY INTELLIGENT | 9.5% | 10.49 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 8.5% | 11.81 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 8.3% | 12.06 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | FORTUNE MASTER | 7.5% | 13.29 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | FIRE BALL | 6.5% | 15.40 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | HERO ICON | 4.4% | 22.59 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | EASY TWO | 4.1% | 24.42 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | NOIR RIDER | 3.5% | 28.90 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 59
PLACE
2 31
6 23
9 21.5
QUINELLA
2,6 246
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 95
2,9 92.5
6,9 65
FORECAST
6,2 467
TIERCE
6,2,9 2,963
TRIO
2,6,9 420
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 669
QUARTET
6,2,9,7 13,392
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/2 64.5
3/6 271.5