跑馬地 · 2024-03-13
第 5場
2024-03-13跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、D J Whyte訓練的KING ECCELLENTE勝出，贏出1-1/4。HARMONY N HOME獲得亞軍；COLONEL獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門COLONEL跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB 1.10.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | HARMONY N HOME M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | COLONEL V M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 5 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | KILINDINI XB/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 2 | 5.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER EAGLE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 4.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 11 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | WOOD ON FIRE H-/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 91.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | MULTIDARLING TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | HOSS B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 6 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | ALLOY KING V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 38.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | FIGHTING MAN XB/TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 4 | 45.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER EAGLE | 21.1% | 4.73 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | KILINDINI | 17.0% | 5.87 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | COLONEL | 14.9% | 6.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | HOSS | 9.2% | 10.93 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | MULTIDARLING | 8.8% | 11.31 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 7.2% | 13.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING | 6.2% | 16.18 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | HARMONY N HOME | 5.1% | 19.59 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.5% | 22.06 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | ALLOY KING | 4.0% | 24.74 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | WOOD ON FIRE | 1.3% | 76.92 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | FIGHTING MAN | 0.6% | 162.20 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 130
PLACE
4 35.5
10 14.5
11 58
QUINELLA
4,11 1,882
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 110
4,11 480
10,11 156.5
FORECAST
4,11 2,736
TIERCE
4,11,10 19,096
TRIO
4,10,11 2,158
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 4,183
QUARTET
4,11,10,2 137,680
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/3/4 3,315
5/3/11 789
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,9/4,10,11 97,428
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 338.5
3/11 134