Happy Valley · 2024-03-13
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KING ECCELLENTE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/4, with HARMONY N HOME second and COLONEL third. The 3.7 favourite COLONEL finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB 1.10.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | HARMONY N HOME M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | COLONEL V M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 5 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | KILINDINI XB/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 2 | 5.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER EAGLE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 4.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 11 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | WOOD ON FIRE H-/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 91.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | MULTIDARLING TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | HOSS B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 6 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | ALLOY KING V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 38.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | FIGHTING MAN XB/TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 4 | 45.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER EAGLE | 21.1% | 4.73 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | KILINDINI | 17.0% | 5.87 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | COLONEL | 14.9% | 6.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | HOSS | 9.2% | 10.93 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | MULTIDARLING | 8.8% | 11.31 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 7.2% | 13.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING | 6.2% | 16.18 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | HARMONY N HOME | 5.1% | 19.59 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.5% | 22.06 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | ALLOY KING | 4.0% | 24.74 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | WOOD ON FIRE | 1.3% | 76.92 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | FIGHTING MAN | 0.6% | 162.20 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 130
PLACE
4 35.5
10 14.5
11 58
QUINELLA
4,11 1,882
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 110
4,11 480
10,11 156.5
FORECAST
4,11 2,736
TIERCE
4,11,10 19,096
TRIO
4,10,11 2,158
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 4,183
QUARTET
4,11,10,2 137,680
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/3/4 3,315
5/3/11 789
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,9/4,10,11 97,428
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 338.5
3/11 134