Happy Valley · 2024-03-13
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly TT 1.41.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 9 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 1 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 9.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PRECISION GOAL Led early H/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 5 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR Closed strongly B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 8 | 8.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPIHOOD CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 49.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE B/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 10 | 9.9 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 6.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 6.3 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER B/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 7 | 18.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-13 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MASTER OF LUCK, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with FOXHUNTER WAY second and BEAU GOSSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite PRECISION GOAL finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 16.3% | 6.15 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | PRECISION GOAL | 14.9% | 6.70 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 13.9% | 7.20 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK | 10.4% | 9.62 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 10.0% | 10.02 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 9.9% | 10.12 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE | 7.2% | 13.97 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 6.9% | 14.40 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 5.3% | 18.90 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER | 3.7% | 27.02 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPIHOOD | 1.6% | 64.11 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 65
PLACE
1 34.5
5 24
12 29.5
QUINELLA
5,12 324.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 124
1,12 192
5,12 103.5
FORECAST
5,12 532
TIERCE
5,12,1 7,131
TRIO
1,5,12 1,138
FIRST 4
1,5,7,12 1,874
QUARTET
5,12,1,7 57,552
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,8/1,5,12 17,261
2ND DOUBLE
8/5 1,310
8/12 271.5