Happy Valley · 2024-03-13
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-13 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY HORSE, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by K L Man, won by 1, with SWEET DIAMOND second and HAPPY TANGO third. The 5.8 favourite MR GOOD VIBES finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAPPY HORSE H/P/TT 0.57.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 3 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | SWEET DIAMOND TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 10 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY TANGO B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ACE TALENT H/P1/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 45.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 11 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | AUGUST MOON BO/TT K H Chan · J Richards | K H Chan | J Richards | 12 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GREAT DAYS H/PC/XB Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 7.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | DEVIL AND GOLD B1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MR GOOD VIBES B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 5.8 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | DASHING GLORY TT- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 35.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAPPY HORSE | 18.2% | 5.49 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | GREAT DAYS | 16.0% | 6.26 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | SWEET DIAMOND | 10.9% | 9.17 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | HAPPY TANGO | 9.3% | 10.79 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | MR GOOD VIBES | 8.8% | 11.38 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | GOODMANSHIP | 8.7% | 11.56 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | ACE TALENT | 8.0% | 12.43 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 6.8% | 14.75 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | AUGUST MOON | 4.5% | 22.14 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | SMART LEADER | 3.8% | 26.00 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 2.7% | 36.86 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | DASHING GLORY | 2.3% | 43.70 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 59
PLACE
2 19.5
4 21.5
6 36.5
QUINELLA
2,6 362
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 59
2,6 127.5
4,6 112
FORECAST
2,6 622
TIERCE
2,6,4 2,564
TRIO
2,4,6 525
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 764
QUARTET
2,6,4,1 19,142