Happy Valley · 2024-03-13
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER PRANCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with VALHALLA second and HAYDAY third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB1/TT- 1.10.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | VALHALLA XB/TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 4 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HAYDAY H/P/XB1/TT- M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 8.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | WINNING HEART B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | HERCULES B/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 1 | 8.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | BEAT HOLLOW M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | GREAT ACHIEVER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 12 | 165.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | STREET CONQUEROR TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 6.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GALE SAGA B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER CP1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 10 | 44.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | LAPRAS H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 74.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SAVVY CHIC B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 24.8% | 4.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | HERCULES | 18.6% | 5.38 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | WINNING HEART | 10.2% | 9.78 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | VALHALLA | 9.0% | 11.09 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | STREET CONQUEROR | 8.7% | 11.49 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | HAYDAY | 8.5% | 11.72 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | BEAT HOLLOW | 6.5% | 15.35 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | GREAT ACHIEVER | 5.4% | 18.40 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 5.1% | 19.79 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | GALE SAGA | 1.3% | 75.76 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | LAPRAS | 1.2% | 81.30 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | SAME TO YOU | 0.6% | 171.81 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 24
PLACE
3 12.5
8 22
9 23.5
QUINELLA
3,8 106.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 42
3,9 50
8,9 78.5
FORECAST
3,8 179
TIERCE
3,8,9 781
TRIO
3,8,9 207
FIRST 4
3,8,9,10 368
QUARTET
3,8,9,10 4,976
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
5/3 241
5/8 97