Happy Valley · 2024-03-13
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHOW RESPECT Closed strongly XB/B2 1.40.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | KEEN UNITY Closed strongly V/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 34.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 11 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | BRAVE WITNESS Closed strongly TT K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MR ALADDIN CP-/B2 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 4.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | STURDY RUBY CP1/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 3.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly B1 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MAYHEM H A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | THE CONCENTRATION CP-/P1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 48.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | NOT A FEW SR-/XB/CP1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 42.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | I KEEP WINNING Led early P C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 82.0 | 23 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SHOW RESPECT, ridden by H Bentley and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/2, with KEEN UNITY second and JOY OF SPRING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite STURDY RUBY finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MR ALADDIN | 24.2% | 4.13 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | STURDY RUBY | 19.0% | 5.27 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | MAYHEM | 13.9% | 7.19 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SHOW RESPECT | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 8.3% | 12.04 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLD TACK | 7.2% | 13.84 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | BRAVE WITNESS | 5.7% | 17.68 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | JOY OF SPRING | 3.9% | 25.62 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEN UNITY | 2.4% | 41.72 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | NOT A FEW | 1.6% | 61.74 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | THE CONCENTRATION | 1.6% | 63.55 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | I KEEP WINNING | 0.8% | 128.77 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 134.5
PLACE
3 37.5
5 19.5
12 77
QUINELLA
3,12 2,196
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 140.5
3,12 568
5,12 421.5
FORECAST
3,12 3,486
TIERCE
3,12,5 25,016
TRIO
3,5,12 4,225
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 9,018
QUARTET
3,12,5,9 254,948
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/3,5,12 88,643
6TH DOUBLE
1/3 192
1/12 80.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,10,11/1,2,7/Any Combination 13,692