Happy Valley · 2024-03-13
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-13 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. MOMENTS IN TIME, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C S Shum, won by 2-1/4, with MAJESTIC VICTORY second and INTREPID WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite M UNICORN finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT 1.50.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 4 | 7.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | KIMBERLEY B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 1 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 8 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | LOOKING GREAT TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 48.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 6.6 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | M UNICORN H/P/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 3.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 35.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | TRUE GENIUS Led early H2/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 46.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BERLIN TANGO | 19.7% | 5.09 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | KIMBERLEY | 18.0% | 5.55 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | M UNICORN | 16.1% | 6.21 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 12.2% | 8.20 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 7.4% | 13.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | TURIN MASCOT | 7.2% | 13.98 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | GALLANT HERO | 4.9% | 20.24 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 4.7% | 21.34 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | INTREPID WINNER | 4.2% | 24.05 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | PRIME MINISTER | 2.9% | 34.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | LOOKING GREAT | 2.2% | 44.73 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | TRUE GENIUS | 0.5% | 184.22 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 73.5
PLACE
2 26.5
8 44.5
9 41.5
QUINELLA
2,8 465
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 154.5
2,9 188
8,9 286
FORECAST
2,8 868
TIERCE
2,8,9 9,525
TRIO
2,8,9 2,279
FIRST 4
2,8,9,11 5,351
QUARTET
2,8,9,11 105,774
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/2 947.5
3/8 223.5