Happy Valley · 2024-03-13
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-13 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY CHARGE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with TOMODACHI KOKOROE second and WONDER KIT third. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT 1.10.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | WONDER KIT B A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 1 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | GUMMY GUMMY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | SEASONS WIT B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 3 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 9.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BON'S A PEARLA B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 5.3 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | ASTROLOGER SR- M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WONDER KIT | 18.5% | 5.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 15.6% | 6.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 10.8% | 9.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | BON'S A PEARLA | 10.3% | 9.74 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | GUMMY GUMMY | 9.4% | 10.65 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 7.8% | 12.89 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | SEASONS WIT | 7.4% | 13.51 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 6.8% | 14.70 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 6.8% | 14.76 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 4.4% | 22.59 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | ASTROLOGER | 2.3% | 43.35 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 42
PLACE
4 27.5
5 17.5
8 19.5
QUINELLA
4,5 277.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 97.5
4,8 77
5,8 62
FORECAST
5,4 470
TIERCE
5,4,8 2,778
TRIO
4,5,8 474
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 1,096
QUARTET
5,4,8,6 21,129
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/2/4 1,661
3/2/5 5,673
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,9/4,5,8 192,403
8TH DOUBLE
2/4 173.5
2/5 514.5
SIX UP
3/4/1/3/2/5 229,723
3,8/4,11/1,7/3,12/2,8/4,5 31,143
4 [H Bentley] —
13 [M Newnham] —