跑馬地 · 2024-03-13
第 9場
2024-03-13跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY CHARGE勝出，贏出1/2。TOMODACHI KOKOROE獲得亞軍；WONDER KIT獲得季軍。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT 1.10.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | WONDER KIT B A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 1 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | GUMMY GUMMY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | SEASONS WIT B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 3 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 9.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BON'S A PEARLA B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 5.3 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | ASTROLOGER SR- M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WONDER KIT | 18.5% | 5.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 15.6% | 6.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 10.8% | 9.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | BON'S A PEARLA | 10.3% | 9.74 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | GUMMY GUMMY | 9.4% | 10.65 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 7.8% | 12.89 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | SEASONS WIT | 7.4% | 13.51 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 6.8% | 14.70 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 6.8% | 14.76 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 4.4% | 22.59 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | ASTROLOGER | 2.3% | 43.35 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 42
PLACE
4 27.5
5 17.5
8 19.5
QUINELLA
4,5 277.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 97.5
4,8 77
5,8 62
FORECAST
5,4 470
TIERCE
5,4,8 2,778
TRIO
4,5,8 474
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 1,096
QUARTET
5,4,8,6 21,129
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
3/2/4 1,661
3/2/5 5,673
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,9/4,5,8 192,403
8TH DOUBLE
2/4 173.5
2/5 514.5
SIX UP
3/4/1/3/2/5 229,723
3,8/4,11/1,7/3,12/2,8/4,5 31,143
4 [H Bentley] —
13 [M Newnham] —