Happy Valley · 2024-03-13
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-13 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RAGING BLIZZARD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with CAPTAIN WIN second and SUGAR SUGAR third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RAGING BLIZZARD P 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 1.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | CAPTAIN WIN B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | KYRUS DRAGON H/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | WATCH BUDDY Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | DENFIELD CP/TT K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 7 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPERSONIC XB1 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 2 | 53.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MA COMET H-/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 4 | 26.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 36.8% | 2.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | WATCH BUDDY | 21.3% | 4.69 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | CAPTAIN WIN | 8.7% | 11.43 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SUGAR SUGAR | 7.0% | 14.36 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | MA COMET | 6.7% | 15.03 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | KYRUS DRAGON | 5.7% | 17.43 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | DENFIELD | 5.3% | 18.89 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 5.2% | 19.17 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | SUPERSONIC | 3.3% | 30.52 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 17
PLACE
1 11.5
2 20
7 19.5
QUINELLA
1,7 65.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 31
1,7 28
2,7 76.5
FORECAST
1,7 99
TIERCE
1,7,2 388
TRIO
1,2,7 123
FIRST 4
1,2,7,9 299
QUARTET
1,7,2,9 2,878
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 215
4/7 153