沙田 · 2024-03-16 · 12:16
第 6場
2024-03-16沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、D J Hall訓練的CHAMPION INSTINCT勝出，贏出2。AWESOME TREASURE獲得亞軍；NEW POWER獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B 1.09.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 9 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | AWESOME TREASURE TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | NEW POWER H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GIANT LEAP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER GOLDI K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 7.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | PACKING BRILLIANT TT1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SETANTA B-/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 5 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | GREAT SPIRIT TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 11 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER GLORY CP-/B1 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 8 | 54.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | JOLLY COMPANION XB/B1 C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 3 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | JOYFUL SUPREME H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 179.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 23.8% | 4.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | GREAT SPIRIT | 20.8% | 4.80 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER GLORY | 9.8% | 10.26 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | AWESOME TREASURE | 8.9% | 11.18 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER GOLDI | 8.4% | 11.95 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | NEW POWER | 5.4% | 18.42 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | JOLLY COMPANION | 5.4% | 18.63 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | GIANT LEAP | 5.0% | 19.95 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | SETANTA | 5.0% | 20.01 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | PACKING BRILLIANT | 4.9% | 20.27 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 2.2% | 46.44 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | JOYFUL SUPREME | 0.4% | 246.43 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 35.5
PLACE
2 14.5
11 32.5
12 20
QUINELLA
2,11 193.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 80
2,12 47.5
11,12 114.5
FORECAST
2,11 364
TIERCE
2,11,12 2,319
TRIO
2,11,12 430
FIRST 4
2,7,11,12 2,731
QUARTET
2,11,12,7 47,384
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/2,11,12 75,713
5TH DOUBLE
3/2 377
3/11 262
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,5,10/3,10,11/Any Combination 61,681