沙田 · 2024-03-16 · 06:02
第 3場
2024-03-16沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、P C Ng訓練的SEA SAPPHIRE勝出，贏出1。SUPER HIGHWAY獲得亞軍；YOU'REMYEVERYTHING獲得季軍。1.6倍大熱門CHATEAUNEUF跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SEA SAPPHIRE PC 1.09.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 2 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | CRAZY TREASURE B B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 10 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | RUBY SAILING TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 8 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | RUN RUN TIMING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CIRCUIT FIERY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 68.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | CHATEAUNEUF TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 1.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | JOY FOR YOU B- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 96.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLDEN ONE V/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 104.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SIGHT VICTORY H/XB/PC1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 25.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 11 | 110.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHATEAUNEUF | 49.5% | 2.02 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 8.0% | 12.57 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 7.7% | 12.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | RUN RUN TIMING | 7.5% | 13.40 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 6.5% | 15.37 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | RUBY SAILING | 6.5% | 15.44 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 4.1% | 24.63 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | SIGHT VICTORY | 3.9% | 25.50 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | CRAZY TREASURE | 2.5% | 40.78 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 1.6% | 61.46 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLDEN ONE | 1.3% | 77.05 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | JOY FOR YOU | 1.0% | 95.86 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 83
PLACE
1 18
4 34
9 22
QUINELLA
4,9 620.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 91
1,9 61
4,9 140.5
FORECAST
9,4 1,213
TIERCE
9,4,1 4,902
TRIO
1,4,9 826
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 2,284
QUARTET
9,4,1,8 52,229
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
4/4 184.5
4/9 660.5