Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 06:02
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SEA SAPPHIRE, ridden by A Badel and trained by P C Ng, won by 1, with SUPER HIGHWAY second and YOU'REMYEVERYTHING third. The 1.6 favourite CHATEAUNEUF finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SEA SAPPHIRE PC 1.09.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 2 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | CRAZY TREASURE B B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 10 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | RUBY SAILING TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 8 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | RUN RUN TIMING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CIRCUIT FIERY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 68.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | CHATEAUNEUF TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 1.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | JOY FOR YOU B- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 96.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLDEN ONE V/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 104.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SIGHT VICTORY H/XB/PC1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 25.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 11 | 110.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHATEAUNEUF | 49.5% | 2.02 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 8.0% | 12.57 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 7.7% | 12.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | RUN RUN TIMING | 7.5% | 13.40 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 6.5% | 15.37 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | RUBY SAILING | 6.5% | 15.44 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 4.1% | 24.63 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | SIGHT VICTORY | 3.9% | 25.50 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | CRAZY TREASURE | 2.5% | 40.78 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 1.6% | 61.46 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLDEN ONE | 1.3% | 77.05 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | JOY FOR YOU | 1.0% | 95.86 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 83
PLACE
1 18
4 34
9 22
QUINELLA
4,9 620.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 91
1,9 61
4,9 140.5
FORECAST
9,4 1,213
TIERCE
9,4,1 4,902
TRIO
1,4,9 826
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 2,284
QUARTET
9,4,1,8 52,229
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
4/4 184.5
4/9 660.5