Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OUTGATE Closed strongly H/TT 1.21.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly CP-/H/SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WINDCHEATER H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 11 | 3.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 2 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ONLY U CP/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 14 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly H/XB1 B Thompson · K H Ting | B Thompson | K H Ting | 7 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AFFORDABLE Closed strongly TT1 B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 6 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | EXCEL WONGCHOY Closed strongly M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 13 | 150.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 8.8 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 119.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | RUN RAN RUN B-/CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 10 | 133.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. OUTGATE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SWEET BRIAR second and FLAGSHIP WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite WINDCHEATER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SWEET BRIAR | 24.9% | 4.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | WINDCHEATER | 21.4% | 4.68 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION | 11.8% | 8.51 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 6.9% | 14.46 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 6.9% | 14.52 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | OUTGATE | 5.7% | 17.55 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | TAMRA BLITZ | 3.9% | 25.32 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | AFFORDABLE | 3.8% | 26.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 3.7% | 26.67 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON | 3.5% | 28.72 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | ONLY U | 2.9% | 34.12 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 2.4% | 42.14 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 1.3% | 74.15 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | RUN RAN RUN | 0.9% | 112.53 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 69
PLACE
2 24
4 31.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
2,9 149.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 148.5
2,9 58
4,9 85
FORECAST
2,9 395
TIERCE
2,9,4 3,378
TRIO
2,4,9 590
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 1,642
QUARTET
2,9,4,1 38,295
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
5/10/2 796
5/10/9 65
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,10/2,4,9 14,140
9TH DOUBLE
10/2 190.5
10/9 20
SIX UP
3/2/11/5/10/2 304,360
3,11/2,11/3,11/4,5/6,10/2,9 5,040
1 [K Teetan] —
4 [A S Cruz] —