Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT 1.09.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 7 | 7.3 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER JOY B/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 7.3 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | SMART LEADER B-/XB/PC1/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO B B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 3 | 6.7 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MORE RICE B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL IS READY B/TT K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 8 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER B-/XB/PC2/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 12 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CASA LEGEND B-/P1/TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 6 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHIRON B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 10 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI B1/TT B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 1 | 18.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. VALIANT ELEGANCE, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by D J Whyte, won by NOSE, with SUPER JOY second and SMART LEADER third. The 6.7 favourite HAPPY TANGO finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO | 15.8% | 6.35 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER JOY | 11.2% | 8.89 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL IS READY | 9.8% | 10.22 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | CHIRON | 9.7% | 10.29 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 8.5% | 11.71 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 8.0% | 12.54 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 7.5% | 13.34 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CASA LEGEND | 7.4% | 13.58 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | MORE RICE | 6.8% | 14.62 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 5.5% | 18.18 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 5.2% | 19.07 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 4.5% | 22.02 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 73
PLACE
4 26
5 52
10 21.5
QUINELLA
4,10 286
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 241.5
4,10 107
5,10 211
FORECAST
4,10 540
TIERCE
4,10,5 7,882
TRIO
4,5,10 1,607
FIRST 4
3,4,5,10 3,514
QUARTET
4,10,5,3 72,472