Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 09:14
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG CHAMPION, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1, with BLUE MARLIN second and LUCKY ENCOUNTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly 1.21.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 2.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER H A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 5 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPREME LUCKY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 8 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | FLAMING RABBIT Led early CP-/XB/SR2 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | KEEFY B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | FIND MY LOVE H-/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE B1/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 10 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | I GIVE Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 6 | 17.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 25.8% | 3.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | BLUE MARLIN | 21.2% | 4.73 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 14.0% | 7.15 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | I GIVE | 7.6% | 13.14 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 5.8% | 17.17 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | DANCING CODE | 5.8% | 17.39 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | FIND MY LOVE | 4.7% | 21.10 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 4.3% | 23.51 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | FLAMING RABBIT | 3.8% | 26.13 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | KEEFY | 3.7% | 26.71 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPREME LUCKY | 3.3% | 30.65 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 24.5
PLACE
6 15.5
8 22
10 13.5
QUINELLA
6,10 52.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 57.5
6,10 23.5
8,10 41
FORECAST
10,6 85
TIERCE
10,6,8 353
TRIO
6,8,10 121
FIRST 4
6,8,9,10 487
QUARTET
10,6,8,9 5,286
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
5/6 29
5/10 103