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Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 17:13

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.42
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly 1.21.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size 9 2.4 1
2 0 BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H H Bentley · D J Whyte 2 4.4 1
3 0 LUCKY ENCOUNTER H A Atzeni · D A Hayes 5 7.1 1-1/4
4 0 SUPREME LUCKY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum 7 22.0 1-1/2
5 0 DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 8 9.7 1-1/2
6 0 FLAMING RABBIT Led early CP-/XB/SR2 M Chadwick · D J Whyte 3 18.0 1-3/4
7 0 KEEFY B K C Leung · F C Lor 4 45.0 3-1/4
8 0 FIND MY LOVE H-/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 1 14.0 3-1/4
9 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 11 18.0 3-3/4
10 0 FANTASTIC TREASURE B1/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes 10 27.0 4-1/2
11 0 I GIVE Y L Chung · P C Ng 6 17.0 10

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. YOUNG CHAMPION, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1, with BLUE MARLIN second and LUCKY ENCOUNTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YOUNG CHAMPION—2. BLUE MARLIN+1L3. LUCKY ENCOUNTER+1.25L4. SUPREME LUCKY+1.5L5. DANCING CODE+1.5L6. FLAMING RABBIT+1.75L7. KEEFY+3.25L8. FIND MY LOVE+3.25L9. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+3.75L10. FANTASTIC TREASURE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick YOUNG CHAMPION (25.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 YOUNG CHAMPION 25.8% 3.87 1
2 0 BLUE MARLIN 21.2% 4.73 2
3 0 LUCKY ENCOUNTER 14.0% 7.15 3
4 0 I GIVE 7.6% 13.14 11
5 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 5.8% 17.17 9
6 0 DANCING CODE 5.8% 17.39 5
7 0 FIND MY LOVE 4.7% 21.10 8
8 0 FANTASTIC TREASURE 4.3% 23.51 10
9 0 FLAMING RABBIT 3.8% 26.13 6
10 0 KEEFY 3.7% 26.71 7
11 0 SUPREME LUCKY 3.3% 30.65 4
YOUNG CHAMPION — wonBLUE MARLINLUCKY ENCOUNTERI GIVETHE GOLDEN SCENERYDANCING CODEFIND MY LOVEFANTASTIC TREASUREFLAMING RABBITKEEFYSUPREME LUCKY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 24.5

PLACE

6 15.5

8 22

10 13.5

QUINELLA

6,10 52.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 57.5

6,10 23.5

8,10 41

FORECAST

10,6 85

TIERCE

10,6,8 353

TRIO

6,8,10 121

FIRST 4

6,8,9,10 487

QUARTET

10,6,8,9 5,286

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

5/6 29

5/10 103