Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 08:08
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SING DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/4, with VICTORY MOMENTS second and FAST BUCK third. The 4.7 favourite VICTORY MOMENTS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SING DRAGON 1.07.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 6 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | VICTORY MOMENTS SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | FAST BUCK PC B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | YELLOWFIN XB E C W Wong · K W Lui | E C W Wong | K W Lui | 12 | 7.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GOOD BUDDY B/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B2/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 34.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SKY FOREVER B/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 7 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | JOLLY RULER H-/TT2 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 33.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE PC/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 9 | 44.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 5 | 6.8 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SMOKEY BEAR | 16.8% | 5.94 | 12 |
| 2 | 6 | FAST BUCK | 13.6% | 7.36 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 11.3% | 8.85 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | YELLOWFIN | 11.2% | 8.89 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 7.8% | 12.82 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | GOOD BUDDY | 7.6% | 13.15 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | SKY FOREVER | 6.7% | 14.83 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | JOLLY RULER | 6.5% | 15.45 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND | 5.8% | 17.26 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | SING DRAGON | 5.6% | 17.73 | 1 |
| 11 | 12 | MONTA FRUTTA | 3.6% | 27.59 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 3.4% | 29.71 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 69
PLACE
3 19
6 25
11 26.5
QUINELLA
3,11 231
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 66
3,11 94
6,11 88.5
FORECAST
11,3 558
TIERCE
11,3,6 3,131
TRIO
3,6,11 521
FIRST 4
1,3,6,11 820
QUARTET
11,3,6,1 21,255
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 28.5
2/11 527.5