Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 08:39
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUNLIGHT POWER, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with THE ABSOLUTE second and FOOLISH HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H/XB 1.22.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · K H Ting | A Atzeni | K H Ting | 14 | 6.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | FOOLISH HEART Closed strongly V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPER WISE DRAGON Closed strongly V-/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | FAST VICTORY Closed strongly CP-/B1 B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 4 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | VANTASTIC CHOICE Led early Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 12 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | COOL BLUE V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 33.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 7 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | SUGAR BALL CP/H/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 5 | 102.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | STORM WINNER B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 8 | 82.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 7 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY B1 Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 11 | 5.2 | 6 |
| 14 | 8 | PERFETTO CP-/B2 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 45.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 14.3% | 6.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | THE ABSOLUTE | 13.4% | 7.49 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY | 12.8% | 7.84 | 13 |
| 4 | 13 | COOL BLUE | 9.6% | 10.45 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 9.0% | 11.13 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | PERFETTO | 5.8% | 17.29 | 14 |
| 7 | 1 | FOOLISH HEART | 5.7% | 17.50 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.7% | 17.65 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 5.4% | 18.45 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | NOBLE WIN | 5.0% | 19.81 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 4.9% | 20.21 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | FAST VICTORY | 3.9% | 25.46 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | STORM WINNER | 3.2% | 31.67 | 12 |
| 14 | 3 | SUGAR BALL | 1.3% | 75.39 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 47.5
PLACE
1 30
4 24.5
5 19
QUINELLA
4,5 222.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 180.5
1,5 75.5
4,5 82.5
FORECAST
5,4 380
TIERCE
5,4,1 2,150
TRIO
1,4,5 536
FIRST 4
1,4,5,12 826
QUARTET
5,4,1,12 13,943
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,11/1,4,5 27,877
7TH DOUBLE
11/4 237
11/5 500