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Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 16:38

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H/XB 1.22.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu 10 4.7 3/4
2 0 THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · K H Ting 14 6.2 3/4
3 0 FOOLISH HEART Closed strongly V K C Leung · C W Chang 9 10.0 1-1/4
4 0 SUPER WISE DRAGON Closed strongly V-/TT K De Melo · W Y So 3 6.3 2-1/4
5 0 FAST VICTORY Closed strongly CP-/B1 B Avdulla · D A Hayes 4 22.0 2-1/4
6 0 NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB A Hamelin · J Size 1 10.0 3
7 0 VANTASTIC CHOICE Led early Y L Chung · C H Yip 12 12.0 3-1/4
8 0 COOL BLUE V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 2 33.0 4
9 0 LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K W Lui 7 23.0 4-1/4
10 0 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly PC/XB K Teetan · P C Ng 6 14.0 4-1/2
11 0 SUGAR BALL CP/H/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo 5 102.0 4-3/4
12 0 STORM WINNER B Thompson · C Fownes 8 82.0 5
13 0 INVINCIBLE LUCKY B1 Z Purton · M Newnham 11 5.2 6
14 0 PERFETTO CP-/B2 M F Poon · D J Hall 13 45.0 7-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUNLIGHT POWER, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with THE ABSOLUTE second and FOOLISH HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUNLIGHT POWER—2. THE ABSOLUTE+0.75L3. FOOLISH HEART+1.25L4. SUPER WISE DRAGON+2.25L5. FAST VICTORY+2.25L6. NOBLE WIN+3L7. VANTASTIC CHOICE+3.25L8. COOL BLUE+4L9. LUCKY GOLD+4.25L10. JUMBO FORTUNE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SUNLIGHT POWER (14.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUNLIGHT POWER 14.3% 6.97 1
2 0 THE ABSOLUTE 13.4% 7.49 2
3 0 INVINCIBLE LUCKY 12.8% 7.84 13
4 0 COOL BLUE 9.6% 10.45 8
5 0 SUPER WISE DRAGON 9.0% 11.13 4
6 0 PERFETTO 5.8% 17.29 14
7 0 FOOLISH HEART 5.7% 17.50 3
8 0 LUCKY GOLD 5.7% 17.65 9
9 0 JUMBO FORTUNE 5.4% 18.45 10
10 0 NOBLE WIN 5.0% 19.81 6
11 0 VANTASTIC CHOICE 4.9% 20.21 7
12 0 FAST VICTORY 3.9% 25.46 5
13 0 STORM WINNER 3.2% 31.67 12
14 0 SUGAR BALL 1.3% 75.39 11
SUNLIGHT POWER — wonTHE ABSOLUTEINVINCIBLE LUCKYCOOL BLUESUPER WISE DRAGONPERFETTOFOOLISH HEARTLUCKY GOLDJUMBO FORTUNENOBLE WINVANTASTIC CHOICEFAST VICTORYSTORM WINNERSUGAR BALL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 47.5

PLACE

1 30

4 24.5

5 19

QUINELLA

4,5 222.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 180.5

1,5 75.5

4,5 82.5

FORECAST

5,4 380

TIERCE

5,4,1 2,150

TRIO

1,4,5 536

FIRST 4

1,4,5,12 826

QUARTET

5,4,1,12 13,943

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,11/1,4,5 27,877

7TH DOUBLE

11/4 237

11/5 500