Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 08:04
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. IMA SINGLE MAN, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/2, with E LEGEND second and BEAUTY MISSILE third. The 4.0 favourite BEAUTY MISSILE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | IMA SINGLE MAN B-/H-/V1/TT 1.08.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | E LEGEND K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 1 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 4 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | ENDEARED XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK TT- K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | PARTERRE B B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 8 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | SUNNY DARLING V/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | ACE VICTORY TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 5.6 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 9 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 12 | 65.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 15.4% | 6.51 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | ACE VICTORY | 14.3% | 7.00 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK | 13.8% | 7.27 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 12.8% | 7.83 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE | 9.4% | 10.66 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | ENDEARED | 8.1% | 12.34 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | PARTERRE | 7.6% | 13.21 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | E LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.44 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY | 5.2% | 19.36 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 4.0% | 25.26 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 2.9% | 34.60 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | SUNNY DARLING | 1.0% | 97.82 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 95.5
PLACE
3 41
10 18
11 40
QUINELLA
3,11 800
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 86
3,11 254
10,11 106.5
FORECAST
3,11 1,574
TIERCE
3,11,10 6,784
TRIO
3,10,11 960
FIRST 4
3,10,11,12 1,095
QUARTET
3,11,10,12 38,708
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
9/10/3 17,402
9/10/11 4,822
4TH DOUBLE
10/3 957
10/11 592