Sha Tin · 2024-03-16 · 12:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-03-16 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SOLID SHALAA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with ACA POWER second and DIAMOND FLARE third. The 5.1 favourite HINOKAMI KAGURA finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SOLID SHALAA B/TT 1.08.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.3 | N |
| 2 | 10 | ACA POWER CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 8.9 | N |
| 3 | 3 | DIAMOND FLARE B/TT E C W Wong · M Newnham | E C W Wong | M Newnham | 11 | 8.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | HINOKAMI KAGURA PC/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 6 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | HIGH RISE POWER K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 8 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 9.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | FLYING DRAGON XB Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR B-/PC1 B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 3 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | SMART FOLKS B/H/SR A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 12 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | SPEEDY FORTUNE A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SOLID SHALAA | 15.5% | 6.47 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 15.1% | 6.61 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 12.6% | 7.95 | 12 |
| 4 | 10 | ACA POWER | 12.5% | 8.01 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 9.3% | 10.70 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | FLYING DRAGON | 7.9% | 12.61 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 7.8% | 12.81 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 5.7% | 17.42 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | DIAMOND FLARE | 5.7% | 17.43 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 5.3% | 18.90 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | SMART FOLKS | 1.3% | 78.35 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | HIGH RISE POWER | 1.2% | 82.24 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 63.5
PLACE
3 34.5
4 21.5
10 27.5
QUINELLA
4,10 222.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 140.5
3,10 177
4,10 75.5
FORECAST
4,10 427
TIERCE
4,10,3 6,122
TRIO
3,4,10 895
FIRST 4
3,4,9,10 1,181
QUARTET
4,10,3,9 28,888
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/4 368
4/10 113.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,10/3,4,10 257,222