沙田 · 2024-03-16 · 09:49
第 10場
2024-03-16沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的OUTGATE勝出，贏出N。SWEET BRIAR獲得亞軍；FLAGSHIP WARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門WINDCHEATER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | OUTGATE 後段發力 H/TT 1.21.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.9 | N |
| 2 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR B/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 後段發力 B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ 後段發力 CP-/H/SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | WINDCHEATER H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 11 | 3.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 2 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | ONLY U CP/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 14 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 後段發力 H/XB1 B Thompson · K H Ting | B Thompson | K H Ting | 7 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | AFFORDABLE 後段發力 TT1 B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 6 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | EXCEL WONGCHOY 後段發力 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 13 | 150.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 8.8 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 119.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION 早段領放 SR/V K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | RUN RAN RUN B-/CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 10 | 133.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SWEET BRIAR | 24.9% | 4.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 14 | WINDCHEATER | 21.4% | 4.68 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION | 11.8% | 8.51 | 13 |
| 4 | 4 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 6.9% | 14.46 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT | 6.9% | 14.52 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | OUTGATE | 5.7% | 17.55 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | TAMRA BLITZ | 3.9% | 25.32 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | AFFORDABLE | 3.8% | 26.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 3.7% | 26.67 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON | 3.5% | 28.72 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | ONLY U | 2.9% | 34.12 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 2.4% | 42.14 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 1.3% | 74.15 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | RUN RAN RUN | 0.9% | 112.53 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 69
PLACE
2 24
4 31.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
2,9 149.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 148.5
2,9 58
4,9 85
FORECAST
2,9 395
TIERCE
2,9,4 3,378
TRIO
2,4,9 590
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 1,642
QUARTET
2,9,4,1 38,295
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
5/10/2 796
5/10/9 65
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,10/2,4,9 14,140
9TH DOUBLE
10/2 190.5
10/9 20
SIX UP
3/2/11/5/10/2 304,360
3,11/2,11/3,11/4,5/6,10/2,9 5,040
1 [K Teetan] —
4 [A S Cruz] —