跑馬地 · 2024-04-17 · 11:42
第 3場
2024-04-17跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、C S Shum訓練的EXUBERANT勝出，贏出N。PHOENIX LIGHT獲得亞軍；GLORY CLOUD獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門PARENTS' LOVE跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EXUBERANT B/TT 1.10.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 6.7 | N |
| 2 | 1 | PHOENIX LIGHT H E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 6.7 | N |
| 3 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | DAN ATTACK CP1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 8 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | CHEONG FAT H/PC M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 8.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 5 | 43.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | TEAM HAPPY B B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 3 | 54.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SAKEWIN M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST XB/H1/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 7 | 57.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.9 | 13 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPERB WITNESS CP1/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 98.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | BRAVO WARRIOR TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 2 | 22.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PARENTS' LOVE | 30.5% | 3.28 | 10 |
| 2 | 10 | DAN ATTACK | 16.8% | 5.96 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | EXUBERANT | 12.4% | 8.07 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | GLORY CLOUD | 9.6% | 10.40 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 9.1% | 10.97 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | CHEONG FAT | 6.8% | 14.71 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | SAKEWIN | 5.9% | 17.06 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS | 2.8% | 36.05 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | BRAVO WARRIOR | 2.3% | 42.80 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | TEAM HAPPY | 1.5% | 67.54 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 1.4% | 71.82 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | SUPERB WITNESS | 0.9% | 105.67 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 67.5
PLACE
1 23
4 19.5
6 28
QUINELLA
1,4 166
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 54
1,6 84.5
4,6 91.5
FORECAST
4,1 294
TIERCE
4,1,6 2,074
TRIO
1,4,6 449
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 287
QUARTET
4,1,6,10 6,650
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,8/1,4,6 7,999
2ND DOUBLE
1/1 30
1/4 105