跑馬地 · 2024-04-17 · 13:12
第 6場
2024-04-17跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、W K Mo訓練的CALIFORNIA TOUCH勝出，贏出N。KA YING CHEER獲得亞軍；MY INTELLIGENT獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門KA YING CHEER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH TT 1.09.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | KA YING CHEER B- H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 3 | 2.6 | N |
| 3 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | COUNTRY DANCER PC Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 4.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | MULTIDARLING TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 9 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 8 | 8.9 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | CHAMPION METHOD B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | RUN RUN TIMING TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 5.2 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SO TREASURE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 25.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | SILVER SPURS SR/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 39.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | IVICTORIAM PC1/TT1 A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 7 | 54.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 8 | GLORY B K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING CHEER | 26.5% | 3.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | RUN RUN TIMING | 19.0% | 5.26 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | COUNTRY DANCER | 16.5% | 6.07 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | CHAMPION METHOD | 8.3% | 12.09 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 8.0% | 12.47 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT | 6.2% | 16.06 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | MULTIDARLING | 5.5% | 18.22 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | SO TREASURE | 4.1% | 24.10 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | IVICTORIAM | 2.6% | 38.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 2.5% | 39.47 | 1 |
| 11 | 6 | SILVER SPURS | 0.7% | 141.52 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 173.5
PLACE
1 13
3 37
12 36
QUINELLA
1,3 208
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 74.5
1,12 66.5
3,12 155.5
FORECAST
3,1 654
TIERCE
3,1,12 5,149
TRIO
1,3,12 602
FIRST 4
1,3,10,12 853
QUARTET
3,1,12,10 27,412
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/1,8 42
3/3 863