跑馬地 · 2024-04-24 · 13:12
第 6場
2024-04-24跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、P C Ng訓練的I CAN勝出，贏出1/2。CAN'T GO WONG獲得亞軍；VIVA HUNTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門CAN'T GO WONG跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | I CAN 後段發力 H/TT 1.40.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 7.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER 早段領放 TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SNOWALOT 後段發力 B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | RELIABLE PROFIT B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 12 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | PEGASUS GENERAL 後段發力 V Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 1 | 5.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | STORM WINNER 後段發力 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 37.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | YOUNG VICTORY B/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 9 | 19.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | KINGLY DEMEANOR 後段發力 B-/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 6 | 54.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR 後段發力 XB/SR1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 90.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | GOOD LUCK WIN B-/TT A Hamelin · M Newnham | A Hamelin | M Newnham | 4 | 62.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | FORTUNE COOKIES B/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 8 | 125.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 32.1% | 3.12 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | CAN'T GO WONG | 19.9% | 5.03 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | SNOWALOT | 19.1% | 5.24 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | I CAN | 13.1% | 7.64 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 4.8% | 20.70 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER | 3.8% | 26.20 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | YOUNG VICTORY | 3.4% | 29.02 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER WARRIOR | 1.3% | 78.01 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 0.8% | 127.95 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 0.7% | 144.14 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | STORM WINNER | 0.7% | 149.11 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | FORTUNE COOKIES | 0.3% | 296.02 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 78
PLACE
3 27.5
6 21.5
10 14
QUINELLA
6,10 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 99.5
3,10 55
6,10 44
FORECAST
6,10 282
TIERCE
6,10,3 1,940
TRIO
3,6,10 328
FIRST 4
2,3,6,10 261
QUARTET
6,10,3,2 7,774
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
5/6 303
5/10 24