跑馬地 · 2024-04-24 · 12:12
第 4場
2024-04-24跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由E C W Wong策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SERGEANT PEPPER勝出，贏出N。FORTUNE WARRIOR獲得亞軍；LEAN MASTER獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門GORGEOUS VITALITY跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER 0.57.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 4.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR PC- K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 8.9 | N |
| 3 | 9 | LEAN MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GREAT ACHIEVER B1 Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | PHILOS H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | GORGEOUS VITALITY B1 L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 4 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | MA COMET P/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 8 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FAIRY HORSE H-/TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 9 | 136.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 10 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GRAND NOVA E1 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 3 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | CHARITY FOR ALL TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 1 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 18.8% | 5.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | GREAT ACHIEVER | 17.3% | 5.78 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | GRAND NOVA | 15.2% | 6.59 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 10.0% | 9.99 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 7.7% | 12.92 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | LEAN MASTER | 7.5% | 13.28 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 6.5% | 15.31 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | CHARITY FOR ALL | 6.1% | 16.30 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 5.9% | 16.97 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | PHILOS | 2.3% | 43.75 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | MA COMET | 1.6% | 63.18 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | FAIRY HORSE | 1.0% | 96.98 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 40
PLACE
2 27
5 15.5
9 26
QUINELLA
2,5 230
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 84.5
2,9 136
5,9 64
FORECAST
5,2 408
TIERCE
5,2,9 2,381
TRIO
2,5,9 594
FIRST 4
2,5,8,9 1,034
QUARTET
5,2,9,8 19,672
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
7/2 156
7/5 328