跑馬地 · 2024-05-01 · 12:42
第 5場
2024-05-01跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的BEAUTY DESTINY勝出，贏出1/2。LYRICAL MOTION獲得亞軍；SHINKANSEN獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門DIAMOND FLARE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BEAUTY DESTINY CP-/H1/P1/TT 1.10.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | LYRICAL MOTION B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE B/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 3 | 3.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | CLEAR COURAGE TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 2 | 56.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | EASY SNIP B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN LINK K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 8.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | TATTENHAM CP K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SWEET SMILE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 57.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | MISTER FOX L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 185.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 15.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | MAXIMIZE HEART V M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 80.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DIAMOND FLARE | 20.3% | 4.92 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | LYRICAL MOTION | 20.2% | 4.94 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | EASY SNIP | 10.1% | 9.90 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | GOLDEN LINK | 8.2% | 12.20 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 8.1% | 12.30 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | SWEET SMILE | 6.5% | 15.41 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 6.4% | 15.74 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | TATTENHAM | 6.2% | 16.17 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | SHINKANSEN | 6.0% | 16.81 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | CLEAR COURAGE | 4.5% | 22.17 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 2.9% | 34.45 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | MISTER FOX | 0.6% | 158.39 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 59.5
PLACE
3 15
9 35
10 20
QUINELLA
3,10 128
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 71
3,10 48
9,10 113
FORECAST
10,3 265
TIERCE
10,3,9 2,142
TRIO
3,9,10 460
FIRST 4
3,4,9,10 337
QUARTET
10,3,9,4 10,874
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
6/1/3 547
6/1/10 8,629
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/3,9,10 28,828
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 50.5
1/10 1,334